tackling climate change
Offline Reinforcement Learning for Microgrid Voltage Regulation
This paper presents a study on using different offline reinforcement learning algorithms for microgrid voltage regulation with solar power penetration. When environment interaction is unviable due to technical or safety reasons, the proposed approach can still obtain an applicable model through offline-style training on a previously collected dataset, lowering the negative impact of lacking online environment interactions. Experiment results on the IEEE 33-bus system demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach on different offline datasets, including the one with merely low-quality experience.
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable > Solar (0.87)
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Power Grid Multi-Stage Cascading Failure Mitigation
Meng, Bo, Xu, Chenghao, Zhu, Yongli
Cascading failures in power grids can lead to grid collapse, causing severe disruptions to social operations and economic activities. In certain cases, multi-stage cascading failures can occur. However, existing cascading-failure-mitigation strategies are usually single-stage-based, overlooking the complexity of the multi-stage scenario. This paper treats the multi-stage cascading failure problem as a reinforcement learning task and develops a simulation environment. The reinforcement learning agent is then trained via the deterministic policy gradient algorithm to achieve continuous actions. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed approach is validated on the IEEE 14-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems.
- South America > Ecuador (0.04)
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Guangzhou (0.04)
Improving Local Air Quality Predictions Using Transfer Learning on Satellite Data and Graph Neural Networks
Gueterbock, Finn, Santos-Rodriguez, Raul, Clark, Jeffrey N.
Air pollution is a significant global health risk, contributing to millions of premature deaths annually. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a harmful pollutant, disproportionately affects urban areas where monitoring networks are often sparse. We propose a novel method for predicting NO2 concentrations at unmonitored locations using transfer learning with satellite and meteorological data. Leveraging the GraphSAGE framework, our approach integrates autoregression and transfer learning to enhance predictive accuracy in data-scarce regions like Bristol. Pre-trained on data from London, UK, our model achieves a 8.6% reduction in Normalised Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and a 32.6% reduction in Gradient RMSE compared to a baseline model. This work demonstrates the potential of virtual sensors for cost-effective air quality monitoring, contributing to actionable insights for climate and health interventions.
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Greater London > London (0.24)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Bristol (0.05)
- Energy (0.94)
- Health & Medicine > Consumer Health (0.66)
- Health & Medicine > Public Health (0.47)
Exploring Design Choices for Autoregressive Deep Learning Climate Models
Gallusser, Florian, Hentschel, Simon, Krause, Anna, Hotho, Andreas
Published as a workshop paper at "Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning", ICLR 2025 Deep Learning (DL) models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in medium-range weather prediction (MWP) but often fail to maintain physically consistent rollouts beyond 14 days. In contrast, a few atmospheric models demonstrate stability over decades, though the key design choices enabling this remain unclear. This study quantitatively compares the long-term stability of three prominent DL-MWP architectures -- FourCastNet, SFNO, and ClimaX -- trained on ERA5 reanalysis data at 5. 625 We systematically assess the impact of autoregressive training steps, model capacity, and choice of prognostic variables, identifying configurations that enable stable 10-year rollouts while preserving the statistical properties of the reference dataset. Notably, rollouts with SFNO exhibit the greatest robustness to hyperparameter choices, yet all models can experience instability depending on the random seed and the set of prognostic variables. Over the past few years autoregressive Deep Learning ( DL) models have emerged that are en par with physics-based state-of-the-art medium range weather prediction systems while only requiring a fraction of the computational costs for inference (Lam et al., 2023; Bi et al., 2023; Price et al., 2025).
Conditional Diffusion-Based Retrieval of Atmospheric CO2 from Earth Observing Spectroscopy
Keely, William R., Lamminpää, Otto, Mauceri, Steffen, Crowell, Sean M. R., O'Dell, Christopher W., McGarragh, Gregory R.
Satellite-based estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) properties from observations of reflected solar spectra are integral for understanding and monitoring complex terrestrial systems and their impact on the carbon cycle due to their near global coverage. Known as retrieval, making GHG concentration estimations from these observations is a non-linear Bayesian inverse problem, which is operationally solved using a computationally expensive algorithm called Optimal Estimation (OE), providing a Gaussian approximation to a non-Gaussian posterior. This leads to issues in solver algorithm convergence, and to unrealistically confident uncertainty estimates for the retrieved quantities. Upcoming satellite missions will provide orders of magnitude more data than the current constellation of GHG observers. Development of fast and accurate retrieval algorithms with robust uncertainty quantification is critical. Doing so stands to provide substantial climate impact of moving towards the goal of near continuous real-time global monitoring of carbon sources and sinks which is essential for policy making. To achieve this goal, we propose a diffusion-based approach to flexibly retrieve a Gaussian or non-Gaussian posterior, for NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 spectrometer, while providing a substantial computational speed-up over the current operational state-of-the-art.
- North America > United States > Oklahoma > Cleveland County > Norman (0.14)
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Pasadena (0.04)
- North America > United States > Colorado > Larimer County > Fort Collins (0.04)
- (11 more...)
- Government > Space Agency (0.50)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.50)
- Energy > Energy Policy (0.34)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Uncertainty (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks (0.47)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models (0.46)
SuoiAI: Building a Dataset for Aquatic Invertebrates in Vietnam
Vo, Tue, Sharma, Lakshay, Dinh, Tuan, Dinh, Khuong, Nguyen, Trang, Phan, Trung, Do, Minh, Vu, Duong
Understanding and monitoring aquatic biodiversity is critical for ecological health and conservation efforts. This paper proposes SuoiAI, an end-to-end pipeline for building a dataset of aquatic invertebrates in Vietnam and employing machine learning (ML) techniques for species classification. We outline the methods for data collection, annotation, and model training, focusing on reducing annotation effort through semi-supervised learning and leveraging state-of-the-art object detection and classification models. Our approach aims to overcome challenges such as data scarcity, fine-grained classification, and deployment in diverse environmental conditions.
- Asia > Vietnam (0.39)
- North America > United States (0.15)
- Asia > Southeast Asia (0.05)
- Europe > Norway > Eastern Norway > Oslo (0.04)
Atlantes: A system of GPS transformers for global-scale real-time maritime intelligence
Herzog, Henry, Hansen, Joshua, Zhang, Yawen, Beukema, Patrick
Unsustainable exploitation of the oceans exacerbated by global warming is threatening coastal communities worldwide. Accurate and timely monitoring of maritime activity is an essential step to effective governance and to inform future policy. In support of this complex global-scale effort, we built Atlantes, a deep learning based system that provides the first-ever real-time view of vessel behavior at global scale. Atlantes leverages a series of bespoke transformers to distill a high volume, continuous stream of GPS messages emitted by hundreds of thousands of vessels into easily quantifiable behaviors. The combination of low latency and high performance enables operationally relevant decision-making and successful interventions on the high seas where illegal and exploitative activity is too common. Atlantes is already in use by hundreds of organizations worldwide. Here we provide an overview of the model and infrastructure that enables this system to function efficiently and cost-effectively at global-scale and in real-time.
- North America > United States (0.15)
- Indian Ocean (0.04)
- Overview (0.69)
- Research Report (0.66)
Dargana: fine-tuning EarthPT for dynamic tree canopy mapping from space
Smith, Michael J., Fleming, Luke, Geach, James E., Roberts, Ryan J., Kalaitzis, Freddie, Banister, James
Aspia Space A BSTRACT We present Dargana, a fine-tuned variant of the EarthPT time-series foundation model that achieves specialisation using < 3% of its pre-training data volume and 5% of its pre-training compute. Dargana is fine-tuned to generate regularly updated classification of tree canopy cover at 10 m resolution, distinguishing conifer and broadleaved tree types. Using Cornwall, UK, as a test case, the model achieves a pixel-level ROC-AUC of 0.98 and a PR-AUC of 0.83 on unseen satellite imagery. Dargana can identify fine structures like hedgerows and coppice below the training sample limit, and can track temporal changes to canopy cover such as new woodland establishment. Our results demonstrate how pre-trained Large Observation Models like EarthPT can be specialised for granular, dynamic land cover monitoring from space, providing a valuable, scalable tool for natural capital management and conservation.
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cornwall (0.26)
- North America > Canada > Ontario > Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry County > Cornwall (0.05)
- North America > United States (0.04)
- Asia > India > Karnataka > Bengaluru (0.04)
A synthetic dataset of French electric load curves with temperature conditioning
Nabil, Tahar, Agoua, Ghislain, Cauchois, Pierre, De Moliner, Anne, Grossin, Benoît
The undergoing energy transition is causing behavioral changes in electricity use, e.g. with self-consumption of local generation, or flexibility services for demand control. To better understand these changes and the challenges they induce, accessing individual smart meter data is crucial. Yet this is personal data under the European GDPR. A widespread use of such data requires thus to create synthetic realistic and privacy-preserving samples. This paper introduces a new synthetic load curve dataset generated by conditional latent diffusion. We also provide the contracted power, time-of-use plan and local temperature used for generation. Fidelity, utility and privacy of the dataset are thoroughly evaluated, demonstrating its good quality and thereby supporting its interest for energy modeling applications.
- North America > United States (0.14)
- Europe > France (0.05)
- Oceania > Australia (0.04)
- Europe > Portugal (0.04)
- Information Technology > Security & Privacy (1.00)
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
Learning Enhanced Structural Representations with Block-Based Uncertainties for Ocean Floor Mapping
Published as a workshop paper at "Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning", ICLR 2025 Accurate ocean modeling and coastal hazard prediction depend on high-resolution bathymetric data; yet, current worldwide datasets are too coarse for exact numerical simulations. While recent deep learning advances have improved earth observation data resolution, existing methods struggle with the unique challenges of producing detailed ocean floor maps, especially in maintaining physical structure consistency and quantifying uncertainties. This work presents a novel uncertainty-aware mechanism using spatial blocks to efficiently capture local bathymetric complexity based on block-based conformal prediction. Compared to conventional techniques, experimental results over several ocean regions show notable increases in both reconstruction quality and uncertainty estimation reliability. This framework increases the reliability of bathymetric reconstructions by preserving structural integrity while offering spatially adaptive uncertainty estimates, so opening the path for more solid climate modeling and coastal hazard assessment.Figure 1: Learning Enhanced Structural Representations with Block-Based Uncertainties 1 Simple diffusion equations to complex Navier-Stokes equations used in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) span these physical models, all of which depend on thorough bathymetric data to properly forecast tsunami propagation, storm surges, and the effects of sea level rise on coastal communities. The GEBCO project (General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans), fuses multibeam sonar, satellite altimetry, and shipborne soundings, yet filling in sub-kilometer details globally would take on the order of two centuries at current survey rates Mayer et al. (2018). Enhancement is further complicated by three interrelated factors: (1) heterogeneous data sources with distinct error characteristics and regional resolution gaps; (2) the need to preserve sharp morphological boundaries, such as ridges, canyons, and trenches, that are critical for physical simulations; and (3) spatially varying data quality arising from different acquisition techniques (direct soundings vs. altimetry) that induce nonuniform uncertainty patterns.
- Indian Ocean (0.05)
- Oceania > Tonga > Ha`apai (0.04)
- Europe > Albania > Fier County (0.04)
- (3 more...)